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        Iran Crisis: A Dangerous Turning Point

        Iran Crisis: A Dangerous Turning Point
        1. Edge Account
        2. Market Analysis
        3. Iran Crisis: A Dangerous Turning Point
        • US-Israel strikes kill Iran’s supreme leader
        • Oil benchmarks surge over 10% on Sunday open
        • Safe-haven assets Gold/Silver also gap higher
        • Risk-off may be name of game ahead of packed week
        • Cheat sheet of potential winners and losers


        Over the weekend, US–Israel strikes killed Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – a dangerous turning point in an already distressed region.


        Tehran fired back at Israel and hit US bases across the Gulf.


        This explosive development came as a surprise, given there was an agreement to hold further talks over the coming weeks.


        With missiles still flying, the risk of a full-blown regional escalation is growing by the minute.


        And this was reflected on Sunday when markets opened with sharp gaps from Friday’s close amid the chaos.

        • BRENT: ↑ 8%
        • WTI: ↑7%
        • XAUUSD: ↑2%
        • XAGUSD: ↑1%

        Note: Prices shown represent the gap from Friday’s close.


        Here’s a cheat sheet of assets that could win/lose:

         

        POTENTIAL WINNERS:

        • VIX (Volatility Index)

        The primary beneficiary as market fear spikes; prices may surge as investors hedge against a wider regional conflict.


        • Safe-haven assets – (XAUUSD, XAGUSD, JPY, CHF, USD)

        As risk aversion intensifies, investors may rush to safe-haven destinations.


        • Oil benchmarks – (WTI, Brent)

        The US-Israeli war against Iran has plunged the global crude market into turmoil, with the effective closure of the critical Strait of Hormuz fuelling supply side fears.


         

        POTENTIAL LOSERS:

        • Global equities – (CN50, EU50, UK100, US500, NAS100, US30)

        As investors scramble for safety amid the chaos, global equities may face fresh selling pressure.


        • Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoins

        Overall uncertainty and caution may repel investors from cryptos in favour of precious metals or safe-haven FX currencies. 


        There have been reports that Trump intends to engage in new talks with Iran’s new leadership.

        Nevertheless, the Iran crisis has entered a new phase which could mean heightened levels of volatility over the next few days to weeks.

        And with volatility comes opportunity.

        Don’t miss out. 

        Trump
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        Exinity Limited, with registration number C119470 C1/GBL and registration address at 5th Floor, NEX Tower, Rue du Savoir, Cybercity, 72201 Ebene, Republic of Mauritius is regulated by the Financial Services Commission of the Republic of Mauritius with an Investment Dealer License with license number C113012295, licensed by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) of South Africa, with FSP No. 50320 and is a licensed Over the Counter Derivative Provider. Exinity Works (CY) Ltd, with registration number HE 351684 and registered address Agiou Athanasiou 30, Ksenos Building, Floors 2-5, Agios Athanasios, Limassol, 4102, Cyprus. Exinity Works (CY) Ltd does not engage in any regulated financial or investment activities.

        Risk Warning: Trading Leveraged Financial instruments involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. You should not invest more than you can afford to lose and should ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. Trading leveraged products may not be suitable for all investors. The value of shares can fall as well as rise, which could mean getting back less than you originally put in. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Before trading, take into consideration your level of experience, investment objectives and seek independent financial advice if necessary. It is the responsibility of the client to ascertain whether they are permitted to use the services of Exinity brand based on the legal requirements in their country of residence.

        Please read our full Risk Disclosure.

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